Stoic Business – The Pre-Mortem

This post is part of a series (maybe) on applying the lessons of Stoicism in the corporate world. This post focuses on the Stoic practice of Premeditatio Malorum or “the pre-meditation of evils”, whereby you think or visualize all bad things that can happen to you, perhaps something you are particularly afraid of. Then you imagine how you would deal with and recover from it. The idea being that this exercise acts as a sort of inoculation for if the dreaded thing does happen and helps strengthen you against the trials of life, and perhaps help you realize that it isn’t all that bad either.

This practice can be applied to any business initiative, product launch, or project using a technique called the pre-mortem. This is an exercise I have use myself on several projects and at the very least is a good way to generate your initial set of risks to track and manage. However, it is also a way to get a temperature check on your team in a way that creates space for them to think about failure without being negative or being worried about being perceived as a Chicken Little. Unlike their managers, project teams often know long beforehand that a project is in trouble, perhaps even at the beginning when their estimates have been slashed without changing scope (hmmm).

via GIPHY

Far too often in the corporate world we only present and evaluate a highly optimized and ambitious plan without accounting for the inherent risks. This is in direct contradiction to Project and Program Management best practices, but unless we as leaders create the psychological safety for the team to engage in which is basically negative thinking, it is highly unlikely someone is going to speak up about risks they see as the hype train for the project gathers steam.


Typically, a pre-mortem is run in the following fashion, I would keep this to 50-60 minutes in duration:

  • Gather the team members together. Intentionally exclude senior executives and others who will stifle discussion at the team level.
  • Level set with the team that you are about to facilitate an exercise meant to identify key risks to the project/program/product, and you’re looking for them to start with a brainstorming activity in which you need everyone’s participation.
  • Announce to the team that the project/program/product has just failed and they have been brought together to identify the reasons why. [30 mins]
    • You must facilitate this discussion – don’t let people interrupt, talk over each other, debate the merits of the idea, etc. The goal of this portion is just to capture the things the team is already worried about but unwilling to bring up.
    • Do not end this earlier than planned, especially the first time you run this exercise. Let the team sit in silence or call on people. I also have 2-3 risks ready as part of my prep to help prime the conversation if needed.
  • Next, ask the team if any of the items are the same, or so related as to be combined. [5 mins]
  • Next, ask the team to assess how likely the risk is to come to actually occur. You could use a simple High/Medium/Low scale or whatever risk probability rating your organization currently uses (ask one of your Project Managers.) [5-10 mins]
    • Depending on the culture of your team you can either debate this openly, use a form of Planning Poker, or have everyone vote with colored stickies.
  • Lastly, look at the high likelihood risks, and ask the team two questions: [10-15 mins]
    • Are there any leading indicators that will warn us that this risk is about to occur?
    • Are there any pro-active mitigations we should consider to actively prevent this risk from occurring? (An example might be a risk to product quality that our entire QA team is inexperienced, when our estimate included 2 leads to run QA. A mitigation might be to overstaff that team, or to staff a junior project manager, etc.)
  • That’s plenty for one session thank the team and let them know you will take some additional time to assess the other risks and discuss with management or the client.

Now the question comes as to what do we do with this information.

  • First, spend additional time with this list. Put it into a risk register, clean up the way you wrote the risks and mitigations, and identify the impact of the risk occurring (for this you may need to consult specific team members and the project manager if this isn’t you.) After these additional deliberations and discussions you may want to adjust some of the risks, just be sure to communicate to the team along with your rationale or you’ll demand the trust the team has in you.
  • Present the risks to your management/client and, at least for the high likelihood risks, ask “are you willing to accept the risk of the documented impact, or should we include the proposed mitigation in our estimate” – do not waffle on this. They might proposed a different mitigation, and be open to that being a better option, but don’t frame the discussion in a way where they can refuse the mitigation AND avoid there being clear documentation what the dollar and time impact would be if the risk occurs. (Far too often I have seen clients and management act surprised and demand how we didn’t know about a risk when it was in the project documentation or even the contract from the beginning. This is just a tactic to get the team to eat it, don’t be a sucker.)
  • Regardless of the outcome of the discussions, document the meeting, the items discussed and the decisions made. Again, use the language “decisions made”, not some inconclusive discussion about hypothetical risks, but decisions made by management or the client on how THEY want to manage the project / program / product risk.
  • Ideally the risk register is part of your public team documentation, and you can just publish it and let the team know they key points in your next meeting. If not, specifically review the outcome of the discussions with ma

From here you or your Project Manager should manage the risks in accordance with your organization’s risk management practices.

For a robust description of project risk management see this PMI article: Project risk management–another success-boosting tool in a PM’s toolkit

If you have used this technique or something similar in the past, what was your experience? What did you learn?

Photo by Christina @ wocintechchat.com on Unsplash

Sad Truths About Project Rescues

This tweet got me thinking about the many project turn arounds I have seen over the last 20 so years. We’ve all seen the scenario play out time and again. The business pushes for more scope, faster delivery, and lower budgets. The project teams (I’ve seen this with both creative and IT teams) feel tremendous pressure to acquiesce to these demands. Even if the project manager makes a valiant defense of a rationale budget, scope, and timeline eventually they get worn down or overridden by their management and the inevitable happens. Management is promised a project the team knows in their hearts to be unrealistic, and everyone begins slogging away, hoping for a miracle, hoping for some break. Maybe some key elements on the critical path will come in early. Maybe the clients/sponsors will sign off on key deliverables within the planned 2 reviews. Almost never happens. If this is an IT project the odds are even lower, due to the vicious cycle of late and over budget projects which convince business sponsors that they need to dictate tighter budget and timeline constraints, knowing they will be missed, which in fact causes more projects to fall behind if not fail.

Then you have a project in Trouble. A project that is Red. And often, at least in the organizations I’ve worked with, people are brought in to to turn things around. I have had several of these put on my plate over the years, and the formula for success is usually very straight forward: tell the truth around what it is going to take to get the project done, or how much scope needs to come out to hit the time/budget. Yes, there are plenty of other things to do like look at the team structure, review and question the scope, re-vitalize the team, rebuild business confidence, look for efficiencies, etc. But for some reason that must be deeply connected to the human condition, when you first come on to turn something around, people are able to listen to reason. Even when what I am saying and calling for is exactly what the previous manager said, it was only once the project was in real jeopardy that the team was listened to.

And that last bit is exactly what I have found to be the key to success in turn-arounds. Listen to the team. Actually sit down with them, as many one on one as possible, and get them to open up about the project, what’s working, what is not, where they see the risk. For more thoughts on taking on a project in flight, see my previous post on the topic.

As for avoiding the situation, I would love to hear what others have found to be successful. And I would love to hear more pithy quips like the one that got this post started.

5 Rules for Joining a Project Underway

Note: this is content migrated from a blog I no longer maintain “The Grumpy PM” and was originally posted on March 21, 2009

Okay, there’s really nothing simple about joining a project as the PM when the project is already underway. You’re going to need to jump right in and keep the project on track while you ramp up on everything about the project.

However, while you could probably write a small book or a long article on this topic, I have found that five is the magic number as far as the limit of “action items” or feedback points you can give someone and hope that they would retain it. Three is probably better, but I am hoping my readers are brighter than that. [;)

1 – Invest in Relationship Building
Take the time right up front to meet with all your team leads and key stakeholders one on one. Have an agenda going in, but try to keep the meeting informal and ask open ended questions to get people talking: ask each how they feel the project is going, what is working well, and what could be improved. You want to get several things out of this meeting – you need to quickly build rapport and find areas of common interest you can leverage to begin to build relationships with those you haven’t worked with before; you want to see what areas are highlighted for improvement, so you can direct attention to them; perhaps most importantly, you want to try to sense how people are feeling about the previous PM no longer being there, which is probably why you would be joining after the project started. While the urge will be great to bury yourself in the project charter, scope statement, WBS, and project schedule, resist, RESIST!

2 – Get the Up to Speed, ASAP
In direct juxtaposition to the above, you will need to ramp up quickly on the project, but don’t do it at the expense of rule 1 above. Ideally, you can get access to the project repository/library/whatever and gain an understanding of what the project is about, but if you have to do it after hours or on the weekend, it is an investment well made. I usually go for the project charter, scope documents, schedule, and risk register. You need to demonstrate competence and confidence to all the stakeholders you interact with in that first week or two, when everyone will be judging the new PM, and the team will be deciding if they are going to rally around you. As you review, make a list of questions you want to ask of team members and stakeholders as you meet with them.

3 – Trust the People on the Team
It may be the hardest thing to do sometimes, but you are going to have to trust the people already on the project to do the right thing. They have history on the team, they (should) know what they are doing, and you aren’t going to succeed without them. More than this though, you need to show them that you trust them, by word and deed. In relationship to point 2 above, tell the team that you don’t know everything, they are the project experts and you am going to rely on them. When an issue comes up or decision needs to be made facilitate the decision making process, but get the people with the project tribal-knowledge, so to speak, involved. Another thing that seems to work with most people is to ask them to explain aspects of the project they are the expert on.

4 – Do Something to Shake Things Up
I am not a psychologist, so I can’t put this in proper technical terms, however I have found a significant, positive mental burst of energy and motivation can be had from the team by make some changes right away. It can be how meetings are run, how reports are presented, or even something like changing around how people are physically seated. Go for some low hanging fruit that you know will benefit delivery or the project. Certainly, you will be approaching the project with a fresh set of eyes, and you should try to bring enthusiasm with you to the assignment. Share your observations and ideas with the team in an engaging and motivated fashion.

5 – Resist the urge to blame the other guy (or gal)
I can’t remember a single project where I have jumped in after it was started where people on the team didn’t blame issues on the previous project manager. Don’t be that guy, it’s shows a clear lack of accountability for the project you now are responsible for, and it is unprofessional. Be proactive and identify all the deliverables, action items, issues, etc. assigned to your predecessor and put them on your to-do list. Stay classy PMs!